“步子迈得大,容易扯着蛋”

——基本上就是今天代理大老板给偶的意见。在这种人浮于事骗吃等死, 哦不,等退休的地方,也算是情理之中。但是连参加培训都要掰着指头混日子攒资历,却在意料之外。可是,他对我不仁,我不能就不义。新年新计划还是要每天在办公室呆满11小时,把该做的都做完了。将来炒老板鱿鱼之日,也要无愧于心!

改湿一首,聊表心意:

你卖,或者不卖力
老板就在那里
不悲不喜

你病,或者不病假
工作就在那里
不来不去

你加,或者不加班
薪水就在那里
不增不减

你查,或者不查信
BB就在你手里,不舍不弃

来办公室里
或者
work from home

酱油    忐忑
纠结    浮云

有一种境界叫崇高

话说西方有一机构,以拯救全世界穷苦人民为己任,引得众多憨头小卒慕名投身其光环之下。

然后某年,全球经济危机。该机构通告全体员工,本着向private sector看齐的原则,人家都减奖金,咱也要向“业内Best Practice”看齐,而且一不做二不休,要全面取消!当然,该机构不会提到即使是在年景最好、private sector奖金比工资高10倍的时候,这里也就是10%意思一下。因为,在public sector,有一种境界叫崇高。

次年。该机构因为改革和重组闹腾得人心惶惶。当然,管理层也很头疼,因为在该机构绝大多数都是老不死的终生合同,再怎么踹也赶不走。于是改革第一步就是所有新加入的小卒都取消终生合同。小卒们心碎了,但是没办法,这年头,有人赏你个饭碗就不错,还管它是金饭碗还是一次性可降解泡沫塑料饭盒。

但是问题还没解决,老不死的还都在啊。于是管理层又生一计,叫decentralize,要求总部的都去全球各地的扶贫分部永久支边,所谓更贴近客户,也节省了经理们来来回回的公务舱机票。各位看官纳闷,这不是很好吗?又怎么能够赶走老不死呢?因为啊,有一种境界叫崇高!咱以拯救全世界穷苦人民为己任的机构,从没听说有个东东叫global pay。好比你本来在光辉耀眼的苹果公司加州本部,突然改革了,革你去某国富士康,拿富士康的薪水,说起来还是生产苹果手机。每月有幸结余的话,可抱着富士康员工般的美好憧憬小心翼翼地存着,三四十年后拿着这存款回加州自生自灭(因为某机构十多年前就高瞻远瞩,把原本还行的养老金也向“业内Best Practice”看齐去了)。当然,你原意的话也可以在富士康所在国落叶归根,虽然根据没奖金没灰色收入的local pay来推算基本上在三线城市都是买不起房的。这一狠招下去,果然逼走了不少人,大多数老不死都托儿带口的,就算自己跳得下去老婆孩子还得有个交待啊。

剩下没能力的走不了的老弱病残也无心恋战人浮于事了,这活还得有人干啊。管理层只好再出全体通告抚民:感谢大家去年的牺牲,咱的崇高在于越危机,越没钱,客户越需要,咱越忙,所谓counter cyclical嘛,今年犒赏三军,奖金全面恢复了!小卒们喜笑颜开,没见过世面,好哄嘛!

本来到此也算是个半推半就XX未遂的happy ending了。没完。上面说到走了不少人,其中也有真正拿高薪的高层们。他们一走,HR一算,突然发现不对啊,怎么咱机构的平均薪水比当地均薪还低了?!这不适合咱崇高的光辉形象啊!(他们忘了最近招的都是些低薪还被取消终生合同且没啥福利的憨头小卒啊)这当下,本该打着崇高牌去找有钱国家要钱的,现在人家都自身难保,救欧猪四国啥的还来不及,谁来管你拯救全世界穷苦人民的崇高事业。没办法,管理层只好乾坤大挪移,不知向哪个共产主义国家学了一招“均贫卡”,把原本有奖金的部门的奖金都分摊到整个机构去拉人均了。最寒心的是,还偷偷摸摸的不再发全体通知,只有在已被吊足胃口充满期待的某些员工突然想起还有奖金这回事儿的时候,才会被经理私下里告知:幻想是美好的,现实是残酷的。

小卒对该机构非常失望。因为该机构境界太不够崇高,在全世界人民水深火热的时候还顾着自己拉人均。小卒号召大家好好学学花旗银行CEO潘迪特,经济危机中只领取1美元的年薪。全机构都这境界,讲不准也可以省出某穷国一整个GDP出来。其实小卒们有心无力,也省不出啥油水来,随便哪个经理一年全球奔波拯救穷苦人民的机票就可以雇好几个自己了。

[纯属虚构,勿对号入座,不负法律责任]

今天单位内部网首页头条。。。

真是像人民日报社论那样,专业小秘或写手才能搞出来呀,太有才了。。。希望转贴在这里不算剽窃或泄漏机密。。。英文懒得看的筒子们可以直接跳过,因为俺的翻译水平肯定会让原味大打折扣。。。
[众人] 其实就是你懒得翻吧!=o=

Let the Games Begin

April 1, 2010 – Come July 1, it will be mandatory for all Bank staff to establish online avatars – a three-dimensional depiction of a computer user in a virtual world. Staff will use their avatars to play out development scenarios, test innovations, and experiment with new theories and policies so that every country and sector strategy and project design is fully tested before it hits the real world.

This initiative is part of the Bank Group’s ongoing internal reforms agenda, which is aimed at modernizing the Bank Group and positioning it for the 21st century. “I am very excited by this idea. It will demonstrate that we are truly a cutting edge knowledge organization, and will help us deliver better results to our clients, whose needs are getting increasingly specific and demanding by the day,” said President Bob Zoellick.

Starting July 1 ISG will equip each staff member with a standard joystick to participate in the DevelopmentumXâ„¢ experience

A program called DevelopmentumX™ – specially created for the Bank by the makers of Second Life, the popular Internet-based virtual world – will house a fictitious global community of donors and borrowers, indigenous communities, elites and poor people, northern and southern NGOs, first world contractors, and other familiar players. While some of these entities will be pre-installed, most will develop spontaneously as Bank staff, consultants, and partners create and introduce their avatars, who will behave according to their individual originators’ experience, biases, and knowledge.

The idea for DevelopmentumX™ comes from the success of Evoke, an online game created by WBI to help empower youth around the world to come up with creative solutions to urgent social problems.

Through their interactions, transactions, and negotiations with the different players in this virtual space, Bank teams will be able to test their ideas for technical validity, development impact, political feasibility, and reputational implications. This is expected to result in the final operations becoming far more effective, while nullifying the need for actual consultations, thus saving a load of hassle, cost and time.

A working group comprising representatives of the Regions, ISG, EXT, Legal, WBI and the Knowledge Strategy Group is putting the finishing touches to the proposal, including the development of a training program. The first phase of training will target country directors and managers, sector managers, task team leaders, safeguards and communications staff, and ACS staff who support these groups. Eventually, the goal is to reach all staff.

“We are aware that many Bank staff have only a passing acquaintance with the online world and social media. Our initial research with staff focus groups has revealed that the two age categories most familiar with this world are, first, not surprisingly the under-30s, and second, ironically, the over-50s – possibly because they are parents of under-30s,” says a member of the working group. This poses a huge challenge since bulk of frontline staff are in that underexposed 30-50 age bracket.

Throughout the month of April staff can view the motion picture Avatar every Tuesday and Thursday at 9 am via webcast

To help overcome this hurdle, the current box office hit Avatar will be “force fed” to all staff. (In a nutshell, the film pits commercial exploiters against indigenous nature loving communities on a distant planet, and avatars play the starring role.)

Starting next week, the film will be webcast to all Bank computers on Tuesdays and Thursdays at 9 am. This will be accompanied by a road show, whereby members of the working group will trawl the Bank unit by unit to hold discussions (including webinars with country offices) on the film’s theme and technology as a precursor to the rollout of the training program.

Participation in the film discussion is a prerequisite for the training, which is mandatory. To check when your unit is scheduled to have this film discussion, click here.

然后是去年今日的首页头条,当时还真白痴般的心头暗喜了一下。。。-__-b

Power Reduction for Month of August at Bank Group Washington Offices

All buildings in the Bank Group will close for the month of August

April 1, 2009––Bob Zoellick presented a proposal yesterday at an informal meeting of the Board of Executive Directors calling for closure of the Washington, DC offices for the entire month of August 2009.

Citing the traditional exodus of many staff at this time of year, Zoellick pointed out the savings to be gained by complete closure of the DC offices, amounting to significant impact on the Bank’s overall energy consumption as well as positive benefits to the environment.

“There is no reason to keep the entire complex open when it’s only partially filled,” said Zoellick, “especially in this time of financial crisis. We need to demonstrate that we, too, can tighten our belts and adjust our energy consumption as good global citizens.”

Following separate statements by each ED, the Board endorsed the idea, noting that it would also positively impact the budget envelope for the coming fiscal year.

Work Arrangements

Essential staff will be notified of alternate work arrangements by their units. Non-essential staff will be placed on administrative leave.

Treasury operations will relocate to the Bank’s business continuity center in Virginia. Country offices will remain open for the month, and the relatively small number of August missions will continue as planned.

The Board normally takes a break for most of August, and so its operations will not be adversely affected.

Carlos Rossell, publisher, said “Our office continues to be busy throughout August with Annual Meetings publications, so we are investigating the relocation of pubs staff to a country with high-quality printing facilities, and with a mild climate so that we will not be contributing to high energy consumption. We’re very concerned about our collective carbon footprint.” Locations in the southern hemisphere are being investigated.

Van Pulley, director of GSD, said “our staff are extremely resourceful, and we will help identify office space wherever it’s needed—be it Virginia or Venezuela.”

Powering Down

The power in all buildings will be set to absolute minimum levels at close of business on Friday, July 31. In most buildings, lights will be completely turned off for the month, and staff will not be allowed access.

Kathy Sierra

Kathy Sierra, vice president of the Sustainable Development Network (SDN), said she wholeheartedly endorsed it on many levels. “This is a major turn-off,” Sierra said, “and it will have a maximum impact.”

She added that she hoped a portion of the savings could be donated to the newly-created Climate Investment Funds, because it would set a strong example for donor countries. “We can use this example to leverage cooperation among the many partners who have been on the fence about their donations. ‘We gave, now you give’ can be our motto going forward.”

Warren Evans, sector director for environment, said, “this is inspired, and it will do wonders for our carbon footprint. We may even make the Guinness Book of Records.”

Country Offices

Country offices are being asked to identify a month when they can also close offices––ideally a month in which the office consumes the most energy, and when the greatest number of staff are on leave, as is the case in Washington during August.

The essential business of project management and supervision will carry on as usual in our country offices, and project disbursements will not be affected.

Travel Services

AMEX will be ramping up its personal travel services to meet the increased demand from potential holiday travelers during the month.  It is also exploring group travel options where there is a critical mass of staff traveling to one location.

More information here

然后是前年的。。。稍微有点假。。。=,=

Get Ready to Work from Home in Fiscal 2009

Migration to virtual office brings benefits of closer family relationships, lower clothing expenses

April 1, 2008––The World Bank Group is making plans to go completely virtual in fiscal 2009, and is laying the groundwork for staff to work from home when not on mission. The move is expected to result in significant cost savings on office space and facilities.In a statement shortly after the Board approved this proposal,  Chief Financial Officer Vincenzo La Via said, “As you know, for the last few years, we have been in a situation of a flat budget, and have been looking at innovative ways to save costs. We are past the stage of trimming around the edges. This is a logical outcome of that approach. Since the budget constraint is real, we are forced to go virtual.”

All staff will be provided laptop computers to ensure business continuity. The Bank Group is working with Dell Computer to negotiate a bulk purchase price within ISG/IT budget constraints.

Apart from new revenues from leasing out Bank-owned space, and significant savings on currently rented office space, additional savings will be generated by terminating parking subsidies and the Metrochek system for HQ-based staff. “There will be no incentive for Bank staff to come into downtown Washington,” said Van Pulley, director, GSD. He added that the Bank’s carbon footprint will also be reduced by the new measures.

Phased Approach

The Virtual Office Program (VOP), to begin implementation July 1, 2008, will apply initially to HQ-based staff, with country offices following in a phased manner.

Blackberries will further facilitate virtual office set-ups

The model for the initiative grew out of the recent establishment of the group’s Emergency Management Team structure. “We already have a drill in place that enables staff to shelter at home in case of emergencies,” said Pulley. “My understanding is that this qualifies as an emergency.”

The US federal government and DC administration are said to have welcomed the WBG move, both because of the reduction in traffic and because there will be one less security headache in the capital. “What I’m really pleased about,” said an officer in a police cruiser when asked for his reaction, “is that there will be greater discipline on Pennsylvania Avenue, and 18th and 19th Streets during the peak hours. World Bank staff are the some of the most impossible road-crossers, in my experience.”

Results of Working Group

A working group comprising representatives from the various VPUs, IFC, and MIGA, and headed by Praful Patel, South Asia regional vice president, developed the proposal. Patel said, “We calculated that on any given day, 50 percent of staff are on mission, and 20 percent on some form of leave. The 30 percent in office spend 80 percent of their time on email, telephone or videoconferences, and the rest of the day in meetings or in the Atrium, where they continue to be active on their Blackberries. So by asking people to go 100 percent virtual, we are only formalizing what is already the practice. Staff will work from home when they are not in airport lounges or hotels.”

Patel added in a somewhat pained voice: “Why, the other day, I was having a one-on-one meeting with my operations director, and all the while he was sending messages on his Blackberry to my chief economist in the next room.”

Videoconferences—already widely in use across the Bank and in country offices—will substitute for any face-to-face meetings that now take place. Patel added that the cost savings will release fresh resources for the six strategic themes.

Aishwarya Rai, new Bank ambassador for Global Public Goods

Further Functions to be Outsourced

As a corollary to the virtualizing of HQ, more functions will be outsourced to India as well as, possibly, Brazil, Russia, China, Mexico, and South Africa.

“This fits well with the MIC strategy we are developing as part of the six themes,” said La Via, who is one of the co-leads of the MICs working group. Patel added, “In recent weeks, the Indians have felt that we’ve played DIRty with them, so this is a way of making up.” He disclosed that the Bank has also offered to appoint Bollywood star Aishwarya Rai as its ambassador for the Global Public Goods theme.

The President’s office is among those shortlisted to be outsourced to Chennai. A final decision will be taken after a study, currently underway, on whether it would be more cost-effective to base the President himself in Chennai, or negotiate with the IMF—itself under immense budgetary strain, and therefore bargaining hard—to lease him an office suite.

Consensus by the Board

The Board has agreed to a similar arrangement for itself, except that in this case, the Executive Directors and their staff will be outsourced to their own capitals. It was learned that during the Board discussion, there was a brief split on this issue between Part 1 and Part 2 EDs.

Initially, the Part 1s favored this refreshing approach to cost-cutting, while some Part 2s felt the arrangement would deny them voice and representation. Then the Part 2s coalesced around the view that everyone would be equally unrepresented, which, looked at another way, meant they were equally represented. This briefly confused the Part 1s, but in the end, all agreed it was a good thing.

Virtual office will make maternity/paternity leaves obsolete

Zoellick Concurs

In a press statement at the end of the day, Bob Zoellick said: “I am very pleased with this decision. I have always believed in iterative feedback loops through networks of conversations.

“This virtual arrangement does just that. I knew that there was a lot of efficiency to be squeezed out of this organization within the existing resources. It shows we are an organization that is now ready—not only for the 21st, but also for the 22nd century.

“We can focus our energies on what we do best, which is contribute to an inclusive, sustainable globalization, without getting distracted by non-productive activities like commuting and deciding where to go for lunch.”

Staff Association Response

The only pessimistic note has come from the Staff Association. “What will happen to ACS staff? And why have country office staff concerns not been taken into account? There has been no consultation. This is a very non-transparent decision,” said SA Chair Prasad Mohan. He promised to hold a town hall meeting in the atrium next week on the matter.

For the schedule of your unit’s migration to the virtual office program, go here.

By Sumir Lal, Internal Communications

然后就是大前年的。。。(转贴得好累啊!=o=)

Budget Accord Reached

Chief Financial Officer Vincenzo La Via

April 1, 2007––Capping extended and intensive negotiations this past week, the Board of Executive Directors has agreed to an approach put forward by senior management to ensure that Bank resources for fiscal 2008 can be reallocated with input from those closest to the business plans––both clients and staff.Three coalitions of VPUs are being formed for a two-day budget planning exercise. Each VPU will be represented  by its vice president and its senior resource management officer.

Chief Economist François Bourguignon

The first group comprises all the Operational units, including all Regions. The second team is made up of a coalition of Financial and Administrative Units––led by Human Resources (HR), the Information Solutions Group (ISG), General Services Department (GSD), and External Affairs (EXT). Development Economics(DEC) is leading the third group, which includes the World Bank Institute (WBI) and all the Network VPUs.

The meeting to determine the Bank’s resource allocation for the next fiscal year will be held off site, on the island state of Vanuatu next week. “The objective of the island meeting is simple––to allow a natural self-selection process to take place,” explained Chief Financial Officer Vincenzo La Via. “This will greatly simplify budget planning for the Managing Directors.”

Partnership and Competitiveness

Each of the coalitions will compete in a series of development exercises, to be evaluated on the basis of how well they apply their group’s comparative advantage to the problems put forth. A global audience of staff and stakeholders will vote hour-by-hour on who deserves to stay in the competition. The BBC World Service has agreed to broadcast the proceedings, in partnership with the American Broadcasting Company (ABC).

The team with the greatest number of surviving vice presidents at the end of the 48-hour marathon will receive 10 percent budget increases for all their VPUs, including 10 percent SRIs and a double complement of H-level staff positions.The losing VPUs will receive a full 10 percent cut for the next three years, as well as loss of all H and I level slots and Blackberry devices. Also, their international staff will all be converted to local hire status.

Review Process

President Wolfowitz announced that international activist and actress Angelina Jolie and renowned investor Warren Buffett will co-chair a special group of outside judges on the island.

Angelina Jolie meets with President Wolfowitz

“Angelina has visited more IDA countries than I have, and has seen many of our projects in the field. She has an excellent head on her shoulders about money, and she has certainly made a lot of it. Warren Buffett’s wisdom is well known. We are grateful to both of them for agreeing to lend their objective, outside perspective to the reallocation exercise. They will guarantee fair play,” said Wolfowitz.

Going Forward

Today interviewed the leaders of each coalition. The Operational Units––dubbed the ‘Road Warriors’––are being led by Jim “Don’t mess with me” Adams of EAP. He said, “We figure that with Shigeo, we’ve got a strong competitor; Pam’s learned a lot from LAC’s strong military tradition that will come in handy; and I’ve gotten our Asian clients to agree to flood Western financial capitals with sell orders if the situation gets tight. We fully intend to go all the way with this.”

The administrative units, recently renamed DFU (Don’t FAC with Us), said they will not be intimidated, and that they can pull the plug on the air conditioning of the other units if push comes to shove. Team leader Guy-Pierre De Poerck of ISG added, “Everyone needs to remember that we gave you connectivity, and we can take it away.”

Warren Buffet

Chief Economist François “I know a recession when I see it” Bourguignon, leading the Wonks for Global Justice coalition of Bank Networks, said ominously, “Information is power, and we have the data. We will not hesitate to use it, either. Consider yourselves warned.”Today will keep staff posted on this story as it develops. “We are relieved, to tell the truth, “said Sumir Lal from Internal Communications. “The budget stories usually pull our readership numbers way down during sweeps week, so this unexpected initiative is very welcome.”

For more information, go here.

然后。。。然后就没有了。。。-__-bbb

纠结啊纠结~敢问路在何方。。。T.T

【友情提醒】鉴于本人一贯清纯优良的形象,本博是有意避免父母长辈等接触以免因任何可能的反差而雷得他们里嫩外焦,所以请潜水或冒泡的各位,若不幸跟俺家有任何挂钩,千万不要泄漏这方小博的存在和内容:比如和你父母聊起,结果转述到偶父母耳中,偶父母因好奇或担心再向我打听之类的。。。虽然现在已经很少更新,还是不要因为这方面的顾虑而完全放弃此地吧。。。多谢配合~ =,=

以下言归正传。。。

纠结啊!!!偶最近真是心乱如麻。。。终于也遇上了机构重组人人自危这种窘境。。。

好吧,也没那么危啦。虽然俺们这种官僚大锅饭机构没啥前途,但的确也是不怎么裁人滴,比如有关改革的通讯上第一条总是强调:“在新组织结构下,每个人都会有份工”。。。-__-b  多么温暖人心啊。。。但是,扫厕所也是份工啊!(好吧,偶承认偶可能更擅长清扫。。。=,=)而且部门拆拆并并,好容易熟悉起来的老板们也不知何去何从,长期的职业发展被打乱,总是很扰人的。

最让俺纠结的还是新业务模式下差不多所有主流业务都将不在花生臀总部进行,权力、业务和人员都会被下放到当地的分部、办公室、新成立的自主运营中心(管它怎么叫)。这实在太纠结了。。。尽管有关改革的通讯上第n条也总是会安抚:“在新组织结构下,没有人会被强迫调离本部”。。。但很明显,要有发展前途,做核心业务,就不得不接受下放。虽然俺一穷二白孑然一人茕茕孑立形影相吊一无房贷二无家室完全就是适合下放的完美典型,但是牵挂还是很多的呀:布置得跟娱乐中心似的安乐小窝,每周末在三台游戏机四台电脑n副麻将扑克牌三国杀中沉沦。。。对了,还有爱车。。。还有各个商场的积分卡贵宾卡打折卡。。。([众人:#$@!$@!$%@#^%#$@%…])虽然也日益感到(不知不觉已呆了四五年的)花生臀的无聊,但实在是放不下这平静安逸的小日子呀。。。(呃。。还有身边可爱的朋友们呀。。。[众人:太假了,偶们根本不在你考虑范围内吧?!=o=])

而且俺总觉得这模式有问题。1、总部完全不给机会和职位的话,你不能要求员工在鸟不生蛋的发展中国家工作一辈子吧?2、所以只好每几年就换一换,调一调,升一升。。。但即使是喜欢到处跑的老外(不用考虑国人普遍的独生子女啊赡养老人啊米国身份啊功名利禄啊等等烦人的问题)也是更顾及家庭不愿意长期到处颠簸的吧?3、以此看来,唯一可持续的模式就是在本土雇佣本地人才在本地工作一辈子。。。——一个不需要国际人才的国际组织,真是杯具啊。(其实现在对于本地员工水平不够无法lead deal的抱怨已经很多了。。。)

父母在这方面也完全是拖后腿的样子:一心只想着关键词:“安稳”“米国”“早点安顿下来成家!”。。。其实俺刚做完加勒比海区域的研究,觉得要是去那儿的话阳光海滩白沙,多爽啊~但是爸妈一听说“地震”“火山”“飓风”“海啸”“毒品集团”就都要暴走了。。。(好吧,其实他们对加勒比海也没啥了解,比如Trinidad and Tobago这种岛国连偶都不知道中文名(注:是“特立尼达和多巴哥” =,=)就更别提偶们爸妈了,不过。。。偶就轻描淡写说了句 “就在海地旁边” ,他们就都不行了。。。-__-b)

还没来米国花生臀骚扰过俺的筒子们,趁俺还在赶快来搭个末班车蹭个免费吃住+导游吧。。。明年今日偶就不知身在何处了。。。(好吧,其实也有可能20年后还闷在这里。。。=,=)可怜哪,真是命犯孤星,要是真开始颠沛流离,俺、俺不会流浪n年后就成家在非洲吧?!~>_<~
[众人:反正你在学葡萄牙语,其实莫桑比克和安哥拉都不错的哦。。。=,=]

加勒比啊加勒比。。。=o=

最近正在做加勒比海国家的研究。。。发现某国实在太搞了吧?!=o=
文献上说 :“虽然大选前局势有点紧张,发生了诸如农业部长被刺杀和多处纵火等事件,不过大选还是在没有重大事故的情况下完成了”—— 这分明就是重大事故啊!=o=
而且该国一共陆军900人,空军100人,海军100人。。。好歹也是七八百万人口的国家啊!=o=  你以为每个军人都可以当Halo里的Master Chief用吗?!还谈什么打击毒贩嘛!=o=

最近正在做加勒比海国家的研究。。。发现某国实在太搞了吧?!资料上说 :“虽然大选前局势有点紧张,发生了诸如农业部长被刺身亡和纵火等事件,不过大选还是在没有重大事故的情况下完成了”—— 这分明就是重大事故啊!=o=

而且该国一共陆军900人,空军100人,海军100人。。。好歹也是七八百万人口的国家啊!=o=  你以为每个军人都可以当Halo里的Master Chief用吗?!还谈什么打击毒贩嘛!=o=

//冷。。。-__-b

唉,这工资涨得。。。

让人蛋疼。。。T.T

算了,偶就是在这儿为全世界穷苦人民奉献的。。。网上看到国内竟然还有EY的小弟给老板和全公司愤愤发信,还是社会主义国家好呀,多河蟹的劳方和资方。。。=,=

斯威士兰啊斯威士兰。。。=o=

最近在做非洲某些产业的研究。。。随便看到了Swaziland这个小国家(不查还真不知道中文名是啥,怎么总让我想到“士多啤梨”这个小时候一直没搞懂的诡异名词。。。-__-b)。仅存的几个君主独裁制国家之一,相当神奇,一夫多妻,英文版维基说26%的人口感染艾滋病,中文版说40%(后查了一下40%应是指怀孕妇女)。天哪,“三人行,必有艾滋焉”,怎么还有人敢去旅游啊?!所以国民人均寿命才32岁。。。人生苦短啊,难怪,还是及时行乐要紧。。。 [众人:别颠倒因果关系好不?!=o=]

最搞的是人家的国王King Mswati III(姆斯瓦蒂三世),他是前国王Sobhuza二世的67个儿子中的一个(而这位神奇的前国王在位83年,去世时有70个老婆,留下了1000多个子孙。。。),所以能在茫茫子孙中脱颖而出,必定是英明神武的呀。他,为了对抗艾滋的泛滥,坚决地发布了一道贞操令,5年内不准18岁以下的少女XX。。。在一个XX泛滥的国度如此为民着想,真是令人感动——不过此令颁布两个月后,风流的国王还是按耐不住身先士卒地取了个17岁的高中生成为他第13个老婆。。。当然,人家还是颇有割须断袍的勇气,毅然地付清了违令的罚款——一头母牛。。。-__-bbb

这都是什么事儿啊!=o=

这位让全世界男人羡慕的国王至今已娶了14个老婆,並生有近30個子女,好像还是福布斯上第15名最有钱的国王。他老婆们人手一辆豪车不说,还常常秘密组团去欧洲啊中东啊各地海淘,据说有一次九位王妃一起去海外败金,导致全国妇女游行去宫殿门口抗议示威 。。。(其实是希望自己也能露把脸被选进后宫吧。。。哎呀呀,X人X心了。。。=,=)

之前偶记得有个Swaziland国家投资机构什么的,其官方主页宣称是为了全国人民的福祉为了促进国内经济而代表国家投资。结果竟然还有人建了个wiki的entry,内容大意是:该公司完全就是为了满足国王和他n个老婆的需要而运营的。。。不过现在怎么也找不到了,估计是被和谐了。。。-___-b

IMF真是越来越。。。

不靠谱了。。。

去年《世界经济展望》出来的预测超低,明显低估了全球经济体的抗性,结果上半年形势一片大好的时候忙着上调(还不是调一点点)。接着年中形势急转直下,它竟然傻到还在今年10月新出的世界经济展望中维持那么高的预测,结果好吧,一个月不到,就赶忙出update下调(而且又是大调),真是脸都不红哦。。。

相比之下,还是偶老板有先见之明,很早就顶着压力要求全组系统地大幅下调预测(做预测的跟算命看风水的没两样,都不靠谱,还喜欢从众,别人不调自己也不调,没人喜欢唱反调。。。所以要做出与consensus完全相反的预测,说服高层和下面的驻各国经济学家同意,还是要有点魄力的。。。顺便夸一下IMF,倒是每次都很有勇气地敢为人先,还以此为自己辩护,可是大哥,你也不能每次都错啊!=o=)。。。可惜啊偶们出版一个东东的流程太长了,虽然眼看着现实一点点和预测相符,但是等年底偶们的全球经济展望出版,也不新鲜了,看起来还好像是跟屁虫,被脸不红心不跳的IMF抢了先。。。

不过偶也不在全球趋势组了,留个纪念,别了,我的算命生涯。。。T.T

再八不能八工作!再八不能八老板!

所以这个帖子发了还真是有风险呀~

先简单理一下:DEC呢,就是Development Economics,是个大~部门,世行除了投钱搞项目,做经济研究分析的地方就是这儿了。DEC下面呢,有PG/RG/DG三个组:DG是data group,搞数据的;RG是research group,做研究的,邹恒甫那样搞学术的就在那儿;PG呢,就是Prospects Group,用老板们自己编的比较蒙人的话来说,就是MAP(Monitor, Analyze, and Project)全球经济形势——全球经济展望组——显然是适合偶这样不学无术的人混日子的地方。
[老板][怒] 你是说俺也是混滴吗?!
[kidding][诚惶诚恐] 哪里哪里,除了偶,大家都是聪明绝~顶~的人呀~ =,=
[大小老板][得意地摸着光头] 这还差不多。。。=,=

然后呢,俺就在Global Trends小组,所以这个Team的头呢,就是大老板(偶尔过来差使我打杂的,就叫小老板),DECPG的头呢,就是大大老板,那么林毅夫作为整个DEC的头呢(即DECVP兼首席经济学家),就是大大大老板了。于是大大大老板新官上任,今天跟我们整个PG众卒开了个见面会,寒暄寒暄。整个感觉就一个字:冷—— -__-b

偶觉得吧,在世行这个地方,每个人都特能侃。不管什么seminar还是book lauch还是panel review还是大小meeting,最后参与者都要说点comment,一扯就可以扯得头头是道源源不绝。我们的林老板吧,这厢对比下就显得太矜持了。偶和小白和聪聪在下面都替他捏着把汗,同是中国人,总是有点民族感情的呀——因为实在是太容易冷场了!!!基本上林老板不连续说五句以上的整话,还都是客套话,不能指望从伊口中得到任何信息,比如观点、看法、展望、期待什么的。也许中国人的特点就是·谨·言·慎·行·,不懂的就不乱讲,摸清情况再发言。这样看来也没错啦,不过就真的是太~冷~了~,好歹也说句玩笑什么的呀,光憨厚地傻笑可是镇不住这里那么多聪明又自负的经济学家的。。。

ps. 小白同学就因为其可爱的憨笑一厢情愿地给了个外号叫熊猫卡通人。。。=,=
080603lin.jpg

最后大大老板为了缓和一下北冰洋气氛,半开玩笑地问到了游泳过海峡的事情。结果林大大大老板以“我还没那么老,三十年后再写自传呢”避而不谈,唉,难得一个活跃气氛的好机会给浪费了,要偶的话,这种人人问过的经典桥段,绝对是酝酿已久地抖上一段啊。
[众人] 这就是你这个小鳖和人家首席的差距!知道人家怎么那么牛了吧?!=o=

总之,之后电梯里同事问到:风格真是不同啊!中国的manager都是这样的吗?偶还是蛮尴尬的。真想写信跟林老板说,请偶们几个中国小朋友吃饭呀,一顿饭功夫就能把本部门之微妙格局一一剖析干净,保证比听大小老板们枯燥的英文presentation有效多啦!([众人] 这叫办公室八卦吧?!=,=)

不过回家的时候想想,其实人家能到这个地位,自然有牛逼的地方。行长不是傻子,也不是随便就提名了一个首席的。人家当年能从台湾游到大陆,绝不是没魄力的人!根本就不用偶们这种小鳖瞎操心!这么想着,也就没再盘算怎么让人家请偶们吃饭了。。。只希望林老板作为大大大老板,在行政管理上也能强势一点,不要让部门的预算连续五年被削减了!
[kidding]  钱包好瘪,看不到前途。。。T.T

楼总来世行

今天前财政部副部长、现中投公司(CIC)老总楼继伟来世行,名义是参加一本他参与编写的关于中国财政的新书发布会,实际上很多人更关心的当然是目前讨论热烈的主权财富基金(SWF)的问题(而他当然也不会为了世行发书来米国一趟,显然是来会见政要拜访CalPERS等同行为CIC探路的)。结果也是,前半部分谈书,他和世行的几个经济学家都读稿子,超级催眠。后面一半讲CIC就开始驾轻就熟,好听些了。

基本上还是要打消大家对SWF的忧虑,重申重视投资回报而非政治目的的原则。股权不要超过10%、不要投票权、不要给对方和自己惹麻烦,做好投资地的政策研究,感觉不受欢迎就不进入该市场,最重要的是做好资产配置(将是80%-90%的利润来源),等等。他回答观众提问的几个主要意思是:“为什么这个规模?因为这是财政政策和货币政策的需要。实际上2000亿美元就是政府和央行的资产互换。政府用国债来购买了央行的外汇,而央行拿了这笔债券可以随时用来回笼国内的流动性。CIC三分之二的资本用来购买汇金(等于从央行帐面转到政府)和给目前或今后改革的国内银行注资,可用于国际投资的也就三分之一。” (所以我疑惑:三分之二又转回了国内,那还指望能回笼多少流动性?而且中国的储备好像07年一年就从1万亿跳到了1.4万亿,涨了40%多,他这中投公司的区区两千亿。。。难怪楼继伟又说“如果哪天大家发现CIC的资本又翻了一番也不用奇怪——宏观政策的需要。”不管怎样,CIC的两个目的(外汇高收益和减少流动性)目前来看似乎还都蛮难实现的,倒更像是政府进入国际投资领域的试验和学习)“我的资本来源是靠5%的国债,成本比其他SWF都高,我求回报还来不及,还讲什么政治目的。”(显然逻辑不是很强。。。)还比喻“我们只是想安心耕田的农民,好好耕田为主。但是如果看到有肥兔跑出来(指Morgan Stanley),也不忘用猎枪打一把。”(鉴于目前华尔街的形势,CIC显然是可以轻轻松松守株待兔的。)于是就有WSJ的记者问现在有没有看到华尔街上有其他肥兔?楼部长于是强调了一下资产配置和分散化,“不想把鸡蛋放在一个篮子里。要在不同区域不同行业寻找机会。”问到投资回报率的问题,他说CIC 目前的期望“只要求比成本的5%高一点点,考虑到CIC的资本本来就是外汇,不承担RMB升值的风险,这个5%还是可以达到的。”

偶十分后悔的就是,同乘一部电梯,都没好意思打个招呼或递个CV什么的。。。唉唉,这么嫩,以后怎么在社会上混啊。。。=,=

ps. 结果去重庆楼吃晚饭的时候,不出所料地,楼部长和ED他们果然也在那儿吃。真是定点单位啊!诺大的米国首都,就没别个好点的中餐馆了吗?!=o=

说一下办公室里高兴的事儿

就是,俺换新电脑啦,哈哈~

因为平时要处理很多数据,excel文件都是几十兆的,又加载了很多数据库啊quick query什么的plugin,同时还要开着好多网页查资料,再看看datastream什么的,经常做着做着就没响应或者死机了,要是再丢了数据白费半天的成果,那真是想一头撞死。所以说嘛,偶们这种底层的小鳖才需要最好的电脑,老板么,只要用word写写总结,根本就只要台最慢的电脑。但是,正如聪聪所说:做梦吧你!

不过,那天在洗手间碰到我们善良的IT Officer,偶就抱怨了那么一下下,问有没有办法可以让电脑运行快点啊?我都试过整理磁盘碎片了还那么慢!他说,那就换台新电脑啊!当时偶还以为他在开玩笑,没想到5分钟后人家就搬了台新电脑过来。还真是新的哎!那么光滑的机箱。。。呜呜,认识偶的人都知道偶有多~么的喜欢崭新的东东。那真是抚摸着机箱流下激动的泪水。。。

所以现在是鸟枪换炮!从P4+500M内存换成了Core 2 Duo+2G内存,硬盘和显存也翻了倍,整个运行起来那叫一个爽啊!(而且偶告诉隔壁的MM和cristina以后她们也要找IT换都没换成,更让偶觉得此地唯我独爽哇哈哈哈~)看来不装个魔兽之类的游戏还真是浪费啊,啊,要忍住,忍住。工作终于变得有点快感了,下班后也没那么急着想回家了,在办公室上上网也蛮好的——原来偶是个这么容易打发的员工!=,=

今天啊

本来标题是《又不爽》。因为办公室碰到了一件莫名其妙的事情,被冤枉地百口莫辩,我最烦被人冤(尤其是被过于敏感的女人无中生有),本来打算在blog上好好发通牢骚(再发个草人帖),后来想想我们这么单纯的工作环境,跟外面比实在是鸡毛蒜皮,也不值一写。于是我郁闷地回家看电视剧了,废了一晚。看得我唏嘘啊唏嘘,看完以后我觉得,还是宽容最重要。所以啊,我不care啦~啦啦啦啦啦~

[众人] 好像还是很care的样子。。。-__-b